It’s pretty quiet from all quarters, so not a huge amount of news since my First Look. But let’s see if there’s anything happening that’s worth re-evaluating our position at all.
The division of quarterback turmoil! There’s so much to watch here, it becomes a hard division to call for the wrong reasons. One elite, one upgrade, one downgrade and one controversy looming – that’s the shape of the guys under centre in this division.
Gah! Time is getting on and I’ve still not finished these… I’d better buck my ideas up.
So… It’s easy to think of the AFC North as Pittsburgh’s division, but the Ravens and the Bengals have won it within the last five years, and the Browns… well, the Browns haven’t been so good but have made the playoffs this decade.
So many of the divisions seem to have me saying “this is a tough one to call”… and the AFC South is the same again. The Colts took five successfive titles until last year’s impressive Titans‘ run but the Jaguars have made their mark in recent years too.
The AFC East was a strange division last year, with things taking twist and turn through the course of the season and ending with the Dolphins on top, and the Patriots missing out. Are we up for a repeat of an unusual final positions and playoff contributions, or will things settle down to the more familiar feel they’ve had of late?
For a few years the NFC West was the Seahawks‘ to lose, and they ambled into the post-season on the back of 6 easy games a season. Things have changed a bit since then, with the 49ers and the Cardinals both making progress (you could say more about last year’s Cardinals but I suspect it was a one-off) and the ‘Hawks having an awful year last year.
Three teams had a big advantage last year, having the Lions in their division. The Lions, to give them a little credit, actually had some close inter-divisional games. Against the Vikings in particular, where they lost the two matchups by a total of only 6 points (two of those points were on the infamous Orlovsky safety… d’oh!)
On paper the NFC South has the toughest schedule of any division. They’re matched against the ever-tough NFC East and the AFC East who all (well, nearly all) had really good 2008 seasons. Whilst the schedule strength is measured against last year’s performance, it’s still an indicator worth paying attention to.
So the first thing to say is that it’s way to early to make any sort of accurate predictions. Way, way, way too early. Most of the players are at home, or working out in small groups. The rookies are starting minicamps and there are plenty of factors that will come into play before the pre-season, let alone the regular season.
However, there are odds posted and it’s worth getting our thoughts together at this stage, so let’s check them out!